So probably the real cases double every day, so lets be optimistic and say only one thousand cases on March 1.
I would say the cases double every three days or so—probably optimistic as well (again, imho) so here is what that looks like:
March 2—2,000
March 5—4,000
March 8—8,000
Tomorrow—16,000
March 14—32,000
March 17—64,000
March 20—128,000
March 23—256,000
March 26—512,000
One million cases by the end of the month, 15% require hospitalization = 150,000.
Hospitals overwhelmed.
Sorry if I scared some folks... :-(
Lookner—Germany update
Some areas ban events over 1,000 people. Only place in US to do this so far is Santa Clara County.
—
My local area—Hartford, CT said no SP parade and no state High School tournament (didn’t catch which sport).
Gov. DeWine OH press conference:
—usual stuff so far...
—recommendations only...
half measures, as usual...
I’m a bit surprised at doubling. Didn’t we see doubling in 3 to 6 days in China? So why 2 days outside of China?