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To: LilFarmer
That’s exactly what Hong Kong did vs. Italy... they were proactive, before they even had 100 cases they were closing borders, schools,etc. as a result, they have had a very mild peak, with economy and healthcare intact whereas Italy, well, you know...

You really need to normalize those data points to make a meaningful comparison.

What is the average age of people in Italy? In HK?

Political considerations (Italy is in EU - can they just unilaterally close their borders?)

State of health care system prior to COVID-19? There's some anecdotal evidence that Italy's system in the affected areas was already under stress.

Etc.

1,399 posted on 03/11/2020 4:28:47 AM PDT by Fury
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To: Fury

A Tale of Two Outbreaks: Hong Kong & Italy

https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/internet-communication/avian-flu-diary/833578-a-tale-of-two-outbreaks-hong-kong-italy#post833578

Here is 22 pages of data and news on Hong Kong

https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/china-2019-ncov/822159-hong-kong-covid-19-cases-121-3-deaths/page22

Here are 14 pages of data and news on Italy

https://flutrackers.com/forum/forum/-2019-ncov-new-coronavirus/italy-2019-ncov/826208-italy-covid-19-10-140-cases-631-deaths-entire-country-locked-down/page13

If you want to research those variables, knock yourself out.


1,435 posted on 03/11/2020 6:34:42 AM PDT by LilFarmer
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