Good topic.
What muddies the waters is the rate of testing.
But, if you look at that Italy graph (posted a while back here and at zero hedge) they went from one verified case on 2/23 to 3,100+ verified cases today.
I am too rusty on math to figure out what “rate” that is....but it seems to double every day, something like that.
New York City is fast becoming Wuhan, USA.
I should add—I consider the Italy data to be the most reliable with large enough numbers to mean something.
The China and Iran numbers are total garbage.
“Double every day”...
But that’s the rate of discovery, not the spread.
Don’t know where I got that ‘double every 6 days’ number.
And my math’s fuzzy these days too.