ITALY
The situation in Italy: March 5, 2020, 6.00 p.m.
POSITIVE
3296
DECEASED
148
HEALED
414
Press conference of the Head of Civil Protection Angelo Borrelli at 6 pm on March 5:
3,858 people who contracted the virus, currently positive 3296, 148 deceased and 414 recovered.
Among the 3,296 positives:
1165 are found in home isolation
1790 hospitalized with symptoms
351 in intensive care
There is something we can figure out on the Italy numbers that is not shown.
We know that roughly 15% of folks infected require hospitalization.
That means that there are at least (414 + 148) x 7 = 3,934 total cases, very close to Italy’s number for total cases.
Conclusion: Italy is going an excellent job of testing.
Second conclusion: CDC could have used the Italian method of testing and saved several weeks.