Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

To: SeekAndFind

Thanks for that chart. The numbers I saw in another study posted showed only about half of the COVID-19 victims were those over 70, but this makes more sense.

Per that chart (and using excess significant digits), 95.7% of those who die from the flu are 50+, and 89% are 65+.

For the COVID-19, 96.5% are 50+, 92.0% of those 60+, and 79.4% of those 70+ (the true elderly).

They did not provide the same age brackets, and such crude interpolation has its issues, but COVID-19 looks slightly shifted towards the younger seniors.

The difference in deaths at the rates for those 50+ based upon the 3140 currently reported as dead represents 36 people. This is an insignificant difference even before proper significant digits are applied. In short, no more deadly for the elderly than a normal flu.

Those who died in the nursing home in Washington appear to have already survived a recent flu.


61 posted on 03/04/2020 1:57:16 PM PST by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]


To: lepton

Thanks for that chart. The numbers I saw in another study posted showed only about half of the COVID-19 victims were those over 70, but this makes more sense.

Per that chart (and using excess significant digits), 95.7% of those who die from the flu are 50+, and 89% are 65+.

For the COVID-19, 96.5% are 50+, 92.0% of those 60+, and 79.4% of those 70+ (the true elderly).

They did not provide the same age brackets, and such crude interpolation has its issues, but COVID-19 looks slightly shifted towards the younger seniors.

The difference in deaths at the rates for those 50+ based upon the 3140 currently reported as dead represents (Correction, 26) people. This is an insignificant difference even before proper significant digits are applied. In short, no more deadly for the elderly than a normal flu.

Those who died in the nursing home in Washington appear to have already survived a recent flu.


64 posted on 03/04/2020 2:00:51 PM PST by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 61 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson