[LilFarmer]

Over the weekend I posted the work of scientist Trevor Bedford who had mapped the sequence of SARS-CoV-2 in the Snohomish patient. Here’s an update/more detail

https://bedford.io/blog/ncov-cryptic-transmission/

[PA Engineer]

Excellent. BTTT!

[steve86]

Thanks.

[PA Engineer]

After this point, community spread occurred and was undetected due to the CDC narrow case definition that required direct travel to China or direct contact with a known case to even be considered for testing. This lack of testing was a critical error and allowed an outbreak in Snohomish County and surroundings to grow to a sizable problem before it was even detected.

That says it all. The CDC is probably very competent at filling out their annual government calendars for vacation time. Disease control is a distant second.

[mrsmith]

“Favilavir has been used by both Japan and China to treat severe cases of COVID-19, and the DCB team expects it to become a significant drug in treating the disease, according to the report.”
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3884063

[21twelve]

The following was fairly obvious to me many weeks ago. But from the article on the mutations (thanks - interesting, easy to understand):

“We now believe that the Seattle area seeding event was ~Jan 15 and we’re now ~7 weeks later. I expect Seattle now to
look like Wuhan around ~1 Jan, when they were reporting the first clusters of patients with unexplained viral pneumonia. We are currently estimating ~600 infections in Seattle, this matches my phylodynamic estimate of the number of infections in Wuhan on Jan 1.

Three weeks later, Wuhan had thousands of infections and was put on large-scale lock-down. However, these large-scale non-pharmaceutical interventions to create social distancing had a huge impact on the resulting epidemic. China averted many millions of infections through these intervention measures and cases there have declined substantially.”

The one main difference though - they won’t be putting us on lockdown. Our governor (Inslee - another idiot) said that now is not the time to panic and shut down public events. But that older people might want to stay away from crowds as they are more at risk.

Yes - they will be more at risk of dying, but not any more at risk of getting it! So if you ask me, if old people should stay away from crowds, the rest of us should too.