Well said. People forget we are only 6-7 weeks from the official start of this thing, and around 3-4 weeks from cases outside China.
For a virus that has a 2-4 week duration (maybe longer with the recent relapse/reinfection data) we really still are early as to knowing what this will do. Way too early to write it off, IMO. It took Spanish Flu 2-3 years to know what it was like, with the worst coming in the Fall of the outbreak IIRC. The good news is that if we can hold it at bay, we can possibly develop an antiviral or vaccine. But I personally think that could be hindered by an ostrich mentality.