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To: DouglasKC

Currently unclear what the actual rates are.

1. Transmission rate is high. R0 value of 3-5 or more (basically how many people each infected will in turn infect).
2. Death rate is not trivial. At best it’s comparable to flu ... but it’s not flu, the attack vector is different & unclear, and deaths will be in addition to an already significant flu death rate. Another 80,000 dead is bad.
3. You should be prepared. Not hard to have 3 months’ supply of food etc on hand. If you’re not ready NOW, you’re not ready. Be ready for the worst case, because it’s not a matter of your opinion.


148 posted on 02/25/2020 12:26:30 PM PST by ctdonath2 (Democrats oppose democracy.)
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To: ctdonath2
1. Transmission rate is high. R0 value of 3-5 or more (basically how many people each infected will in turn infect). 2. Death rate is not trivial. At best it’s comparable to flu ... but it’s not flu, the attack vector is different & unclear, and deaths will be in addition to an already significant flu death rate. Another 80,000 dead is bad. 3. You should be prepared. Not hard to have 3 months’ supply of food etc on hand. If you’re not ready NOW, you’re not ready. Be ready for the worst case, because it’s not a matter of your opinion.

100% in agreement. We've seen virtually every other country where it's taken root institute pretty drastic quarantines. If ONLY that happens here it's only prudent to have enough to ride it out.

153 posted on 02/25/2020 12:29:47 PM PST by DouglasKC
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