“Cases are at least 10 times higher than the current 31,000 being reported”
So, if 310,000 cases then at 2% case fatality rate = 6,200 deaths. Or at the current 40,000 cases, it would be 400,000 cases, then at 2% = 8,000 deaths.
Reminder:
“The 2017-2018 flu season was severe for all populations and resulted in an estimated 959,000 hospitalizations and 79,400 deaths. This is the highest number of patient claims since the 2009 flu season. 186 pediatric deaths were reported to the CDC”