Did the math with the numbers at the top of this thread.
Ok. What I did was take the deaths and divide by the serious/critical cases from a few days ago. The assumption is that deaths are a “lagging” indicator. If you look at the critical cases going through the system, how many will be dead soon.
I think we both agree the numbers are junk. The cases outside of China are still almost a month behind on the timeline.
Time will tell.