Oh boy, okay, I’m going to point this out one more time: the currently infected are a null set.
That 50 of 1700 are dead indicates absolutely nothing if 1650 of them are still infected. That could mean they’re recovering, or it could mean they’re not yet dead.
This is why using cases vs. fatalities is stupid. All of the comparisons are being made to outbreaks of flu or viral infections in the past, where outcomes are known.
The only valid data set for calculating motality for THIS outbreak is using patients who have recovered vs. those who have not.
Using those numbers, this particular outbteak is cause for grave concern
Did you see the Lancet on the first group? Something like 68% recovered of the first 41.
Thank you.