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UPDATE: Transmissibility estimates of #coronavirus #2019nCoV at 2.6

Identification & testing potential cases to be as extensive as permitted by healthcare & testing capacity

🔰https://t.co/7A77NXZ3iw@neil_ferguson @dr_anne_cori @SRileyIDD @MarcBaguelin @IlariaDorigatti pic.twitter.com/tHpDNeNBa4— MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis (@MRC_Outbreak) January 25, 2020


120 posted on 01/25/2020 5:27:03 PM PST by BusterDog
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To: BusterDog

So each case infected 2.6 people (uncertainty range: 1.5-3.5).

For comparison...

The influenza Asian A (H2N2) pandemic of 1957-1958 and Hong Kong A (H3N2) of 1968-1969 had estimated R0s in the 1.5–1.8 range and were considered to be of moderate transmissibility, while the influenza A (H1N1) of 1918–1919 had an estimated R0 in the range 1.8–2.4 and was considered to be highly transmissible (9, 20–23 ...Oct 30, 2009)

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2880578/#idm140417581174272title


126 posted on 01/25/2020 5:33:24 PM PST by mewzilla (Break out the mustard seeds.)
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