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To: Red Badger
There is an excellent presentation by an OXFORD PROFESSOR OF STATISTICS (Jennifer Rogers) [note same Oxford U] on how to keep these kind of SCARE headlines in perspective! This Royal Institution presentation used, among other recent example headlines, the headline that eating a daily bacon sandwich increased the cancer risk by 20%!

While a valid statistic, it was only a comparison between two sample groups, those who ate on a daily basis and those who NEVER indulged. Out of a lifetime 'normal' risk of 1 in 80, then a group of 400 equals an incidence of pancreatic cancer at 5! A daily 'fry-up' (Brit slang for a bacon sandwich) increased the risk to 6 in 400!

Thus the 20% presentation is quite scary but the absolute risk is more of a yawn! This is why I take most 'studies' with a LARGE grain of salt!

50 posted on 09/10/2019 12:34:10 PM PDT by SES1066 (Happiness is a depressed Washington, DC housing market!)
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To: SES1066
A "fry up" usually refers to a traditional BRIT breakfast of fried eggs, bacon,baked beans, fried potatoes, fried tomatoes, and bangers ( a cross between sausages and hot dogs), and sometimes kidneys.

A bacon sandwich is called a BACON BOTTY.

52 posted on 09/10/2019 1:06:29 PM PDT by nopardons
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