https://www.livescience.com/20091-sierra-nevada-mountain-range-rises-rapidly.html
Your stress relieving ruptures may vary in location, magnitude and timing.
I’m not trying to predict anything.
I’m just saying based on the history from the last 150 years, San Francisco is overdue and to look for trends and unusual changes in the ground.
I was in the ‘89 quake and that was over 100 miles from San Francisco.
Before I got into microprocessor design, I was considering Petroleum Engineering and the basics of CA faults and geology was part of it.
Frankly, the Cascadia Fault is going to trip first before we get a big one near San Francisco.