On a scale of 0 to 10 (where 10 is a Civil War very soon) we are, at most, at a 2.
Most folks in the U.S., are well-fed, and have plenty of toys. The furnace works, and the air conditioner works. The government is often heavy-handed, but it is not tsarist-oppressive. And the military is content.
True, there are plenty of folks who are upset about a lot of things. But how many folks are angry enough right now to seriously contemplate going out and waging war against their fellow citizens? I’d wager not many. Maybe 1% of the population.
Of course, a black swan event could occur. Like maybe the food chain breaking down for some reason. But after that, anarchy would occur. Not a civil war.
Exactly right. Talk of CWII is as much a fantasty for some as desiring to live a post-apocalyptic society is for other.
The ill-fated Tea Party offers a good reference for what CWII would be like - a few loudmouths jostling to be in charge and raising money off the rubes.
As for analogies, about half the US today is happy as can be with the status quo. Their only complaint about government is they can’t buy beer with EBT and upgrade their Obamaphone to an S10.
You don’t need both sides to be ready for it.
By 2025 the muslims should be at a point percentage wise that they start causing all sorts of trouble. Things such as blowing people and buildings up. Cutting off people's heads. Shooting up malls, the crowds at sporting events, and other places.