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Asteroid Strike Simulation Ends With Expected Catastrophic Results
Hotair ^ | 05/07/2019 | Jazz Shaw

Posted on 05/07/2019 10:17:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

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1 posted on 05/07/2019 10:17:15 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
I won't say that all computer simulations are worthless, but I think most of them are.

Let's say I'm writing a SW simulation of a tea kettle on a stove. I finish and run the simulation -- but my water never boils. Obviously I screwed up. So I re-write my simulation. I keep running, testing, and re-writing my simulation until I see that (according to my model) water in a tea kettle will boil when placed on a hot stove.

What has my simulation showed me? Absolutely nothing. I made sure that it showed me what I wanted it to show me. That's how I knew it was "successful".

Global Warming? Asteroid strikes? If the initial run shows a really happy outcome, then your simulation was badly written. So keep re-writing it until Global Warming or Asteroid Strikes show a catastrophic outcome. That's how you know your simulation is "good".

This is how we do science these days.

2 posted on 05/07/2019 10:24:09 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: ClearCase_guy
I won't say that all computer simulations are worthless, but I think most of them are.

We find that almost all are perfect representations of real work physics. We run thousands a year, and run dozens of physical tests to confirm their results.
3 posted on 05/07/2019 10:25:47 AM PDT by TexasGunLover
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To: SeekAndFind

I bet if they evacuate NYC, they’d still collect tolls. Might even bump up the rate. Need the extra revenue for collision clean up and all that.


4 posted on 05/07/2019 10:27:04 AM PDT by fruser1
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To: SeekAndFind

Nothing that a massive increase in federal funding couldn’t solve.


5 posted on 05/07/2019 10:30:48 AM PDT by billorites (freepo ergo sum)
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To: TexasGunLover

We run thousands a year, and run dozens of physical tests to confirm their results.

Interesting.

Is there a website that shows such confirmations?


6 posted on 05/07/2019 10:30:48 AM PDT by samtheman (To steal an election, who do you collude with? Russians in Russia or Mexicans in California?)
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To: SeekAndFind
Catastrophic? WTH? I thought NYC was destroyed. ☄💥👹🙀💩
7 posted on 05/07/2019 10:32:50 AM PDT by rktman ( #My2ndAmend! ----- Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: SeekAndFind

If we address climate change I’m certain the asteroid would bypass earth.


8 posted on 05/07/2019 10:33:14 AM PDT by JZelle
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To: SeekAndFind
Reminds me of the Jose Cuervo commercial that ran a few months ago with the couple drinking Cuervo and dancing as the asteroid comes in.

Caught in Manhattan as an asteroid screams in? Might as well get the best liquor you can and squeeze your honey till it all disappears.

9 posted on 05/07/2019 10:33:26 AM PDT by colorado tanker
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To: TexasGunLover

How good a job do your simulations do on turbulence in a teacup?

Next weeks’s weather? Will I have 0.2” of rain on my house a week from Thursday?

That being said, they do work very well on some things, I couldn’t have gotten anywhere near as good a design on my microhotplates without them...


10 posted on 05/07/2019 10:35:00 AM PDT by null and void (The press is always lying. When they aren't actively lying, they are actively concealing the truth.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Getting millions out in a few days is pretty good work. Plus you’d have a huge effort sending in boats and planes. Probably divert the entire commercial air fleet.

But we may not see it coming and I doubt we can pinpoint the impact area.

Always bothers me to know these things aren’t that big, but a 180 foot rock can destroy a city. Something bigger would not be good.


11 posted on 05/07/2019 10:35:31 AM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant.)
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To: fruser1

what if it crashed into Atlantic off NY / NJ coasts. Tsunami? Odds are meteor would land in an ocean


12 posted on 05/07/2019 10:36:17 AM PDT by SMGFan ("God love ya! What am I talking about")
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To: TexasGunLover

Well, not my field, so I may be totally off base. But if someone simulated a car engine (for example), there is solid science that allows reasonable prediction. And you can run physical tests to confirm the results predicted by the model. I consider this legitimate science.

But Global Warming and Asteroid Strikes involves a lot of guesswork and cannot be verified by physical tests. I don’t see much value in such sims.


13 posted on 05/07/2019 10:36:53 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: ClearCase_guy
That is an awesome summary. I have been arguing the same points you made with the algore acolytes for years.

They don't seem to understand assumptions, multiple independent variables and expected outcome, just dogma.

14 posted on 05/07/2019 10:37:49 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: SeekAndFind
They need to gather up a NASA team of oil riggers.

One from Die Hard, to lead.

Another who plays Batman, as second.

A aging rock star's daughter as love interest.

And a team of good Joes and funny guys for the rest.


15 posted on 05/07/2019 10:41:13 AM PDT by Alas Babylon! (The media is after us. Trump's just in the way.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Simulations are a key part of designing and verifying electronics. In that realm, they work very well.


16 posted on 05/07/2019 10:43:02 AM PDT by Yossarian
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Let's just say there is an asteroid heading towards us.
Let's just say we have the capability to deflect it.
Let's just say that a piece 60 meters in diameter breaks off.
Let's just say that piece enters Earth's atmosphere without breaking up.

Nah, let's forget all that. Let's just say an asteroid 60 meters wide happens to enter Earth's atmosphere without breaking up.

NY city is about 300 square miles. Earth is about 200 million!

Even if the above happens, there is still only a 15 in 10 million chance it will hit NY city.

The things these idiots waste their time on.

17 posted on 05/07/2019 10:44:30 AM PDT by Henchster (Free Republic - the BEST site on the web!)
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To: SeekAndFind
"we’ll skip past all the tasteless jokes about how having SMOD strike the Big Apple might not be entirely without an upside."

What is interesting, to me, is why the Left refuses to consider that they are that hated. How many people would dance on NYC's grave, and why should this be so?

18 posted on 05/07/2019 10:44:51 AM PDT by jonascord (First rule of the Dunning-Kruger Club is that you do not know you are in the Dunning-Kruger club.)
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To: SeekAndFind
[ In a NASA simulation of a fictional scenario, New York City was hit with an asteroid packing 1,000 times the destruction of the nuclear bomb dropped on Hiroshima. ]


19 posted on 05/07/2019 10:45:26 AM PDT by GraceG ("If I post an AWESOME MEME, STEAL IT! JUST RE-POST IT IN TWO PLACES PLEASE")
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To: fruser1

Except you pay tolls going INTO the city, not out.


20 posted on 05/07/2019 10:47:29 AM PDT by TangledUpInBlue
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