Rather then think about the possibility, you would rather just give it to chance.
Not responsible!
Military theorists have “wargamed” in some form against potential opponents ever since people had a game to play!
There were wargamed out “war plans” against the UK & others well up into the 1920s. How likely was war against the UK going to happen?
Rand is just doing the job its paid to do.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAND_Corporation
32 recipients of Nobel prizes in physics & economics have been associated with Rand.
Unlike most government funded things the USG gets pretty good bang for its buck from Rand.
I’ve been there a couple of times in my past career.
A fascinating place.
These studies always amuse be because America is always playing on the road. We go to others homelands and fight there. How about if China and Russia took the fight to the US? The only way I can see a war like this come to fruition is if every American and allied satellite were destroyed in the first minutes. If that isn’t achieved then there will be no war.