Captain Marvel will not bomb. The only question is whether it does Sam Raimi’s original Spider-Man box office, or whether it does Black Panther box office.
It won’t do Black Panther box office, it will do fine financially, but I expect it to underperform expectations.
As I stated elsewhere, I know of NOBODY excited about this film... no one... a lot will go see it because it is part of the larger multi year MCU story line... as the character is obviously going to play a big roll in the next avengers movie...
However, the character itself is weak, just a angry SJW, caricature with no dept... (I am not talking about the movie here, I am talking about the existing Comic Book Character they are basing the movie from)... Marvel keeps pushing her as Marvel’s “superman”, and the public keeps rejecting it... but they still keep pushing it.
If there is a movie that might surprise, and exceed expectations, I would say Shazam! could do that, if it catches.... Captain Marvel? Not so much.. Will do plenty of business, but the attempt to argue Captain Marvel, is some sort of social moment, like Disney conned AA’s into thinking Black Panther was... ain’t working... so don’t expect it to do BP business.... It will do fine financially, but I would bet it will not meet internal Disney expectations if I had to put a bet on it.