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To: buwaya

For a civil war that looks like ours or the Spanish civil war you need two polities with contiguous borders and access to resources. Our civil war would be countries versus cities except fedgov and archers daniel midland would be sure to control all major food and water supplies. You’d need an evenly split armed forces for this to work. I don’t see a scenario where that is likely - depending on what happens the armed forces are going to strongly on the side of the existing government or the people trying to overthrow it.


9 posted on 01/09/2019 4:41:21 PM PST by socalgop
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To: socalgop

The Spanish military was not evenly split - the vast majority remained loyal to the Republic, regardless of the popular myths.

However, some critical parts of it, the so called “Army of Africa”, which was by far the most experienced and best trained, declared for the Nationalists. They put in an astonishing military performance in the desperate early weeks of the war, and thereby kept the rebellion in business.

Spain was also split by country vs city, and class vs class. It certainly wasn’t unified regions against each other. It was a terrible, mixed-up, chaotic situation, and which piece of ground went to one side or another was a matter of chance. It is a rather good analogy of the situation that could be in the US.


13 posted on 01/09/2019 4:56:52 PM PST by buwaya
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To: socalgop

The critical point is not who owns resources “on paper”, but who controls the territories on which they lie.

One of the first casualties in such a war is property rights, and the other casualty is authority. The law becomes much more about who can enforce it.

Civil wars destroy economies and dissolve militaries, and eliminate wealth based on debt or equity ownership. Money becomes less meaningful with extreme inflation and the loss of legitimacy.

It is hard to imagine this stuff if you have not been in such a situation, and a typical thing is for large numbers of people to continue to assume things are normal, when they are not.


18 posted on 01/09/2019 5:05:42 PM PST by buwaya
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To: socalgop

The armed forces will side with their generals.


23 posted on 01/09/2019 5:22:50 PM PST by cmj328 (We live here.)
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To: socalgop
I don’t see a scenario where that is likely

Let SNAP benefits run out in large cities, and you will see riots.

I think that might be part of the plan. The RATS and news media are acting like Republicans are under pressure to cave. We have no idea how many phone calls RATs are getting to cave, but lines to the Capital are jammed.

30 posted on 01/09/2019 5:55:42 PM PST by 11th_VA (Art of the Deal: "The real excitement is playing the game" - DJT)
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To: socalgop

One damn thing is for sure. The police and sherriffs in red america will totally support the people. Talkef with enough of them to know. Thats why obama was tryng to create a liberal “national police force”. Had hillary been elected she would have tried to complete this objective. Red american citizens are already aarmed. So, the only question left is what side is the military on. I just cant see them obeying the communist orders.


35 posted on 01/09/2019 6:30:51 PM PST by Fla.Deporable
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