California will lose 2 district seats in 2020. I guarantee it will be two red seats which will result in only 5 house seats left in California. Amazing that the state went for Reagan.
There is a lawsuit being pursued by Ala’s AG to refuse the Census count on non-Americans. I expect this to be done by the Supreme Court by early 2020, and non-citizens will not be counted.
If this happens, I’d go two higher than you....suggesting that they lose four districts. The thing is...as they have to redraw these district...the lawsuits will make this into a massive mess, and it might drag on for at least two years.