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2020 REAPPORTIONMENT FORECAST – TOTAL POPULATION - 2018 ESTIMATES
Fairlines ^

Posted on 12/20/2018 5:50:56 AM PST by SMGFan

Below are Fair Lines America’s updated 2018 estimates for reapportionment following the 2020 Census. The 2020 reapportionment will allocate congressional representation (and Electoral College votes) for the 50 states from 2022 through 2030.

The 2020 Forecast

The Upper Midwest and Northeast are expected to see continued migration of representation to the South and West.

Texas looks to gain its 6th, 7th, and 8th new members this century as Florida picks up its 5th and 6th. Four western states (Arizona, Colorado, Montana, and Oregon) would expand their delegations while North Carolina may gain the 14th seat it just missed in 2010.

California is projected to lose a Congressional seat for the first time since it joined the Union.

Illinois, Michigan, New York, Ohio, and Pennsylvania all appear likely to lose another seat, bringing their collective loss for the century to 19.

Rhode Island is poised to join the ranks of At-Large states.

West Virginia would replace Rhode Island as one of five states with only two members,

and Minnesota is on the verge of losing the 8th seat it managed to just barely hold on to in 2010.

(Excerpt) Read more at fairlines.org ...


TOPICS: Reference; Society
KEYWORDS: reapportionment
It is 2018, today we all can crush reapportionment numbers.
1 posted on 12/20/2018 5:50:56 AM PST by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

We should NOT count any but Citizens and legal residents. Not one Illegal Alien should be included!


2 posted on 12/20/2018 5:53:12 AM PST by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: Rurudyne

The current legal landscape would require a Constitutional amendment to change from the current state of counting everyone, to only counting citizens and legal residents.


3 posted on 12/20/2018 6:05:50 AM PST by taxcontrol
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To: Rurudyne

But when the Constitution was written the Census directions were set.
We needed an Amendment to end the 3/5th rule and your desire requires an Amendment as well.


4 posted on 12/20/2018 6:11:17 AM PST by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

Blue states stay blue and red states turn purple.


5 posted on 12/20/2018 6:14:40 AM PST by Sequoyah101 (It feels like we have exchaged our dreams for survival. We just ha va few days that don't suck.)
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To: Rurudyne
"We should NOT count any but Citizens and legal residents. Not one Illegal Alien should be included!"

You are correct, but good old Article 1 Section 2 calls for a count of "free persons". Not citizens. That opens the census to manipulation by Congress and the Judiciary.

6 posted on 12/20/2018 6:15:24 AM PST by buckalfa (I was so much older then, but I'am younger than that now.)
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To: SMGFan
The average size of a congressional district based on the 2010 Census apportionment population is 710,767.

The average district size based on the 1910 Census apportionment was 210,328.

In 1789, the Constitution, established that each congressional district would represent 30,000 citizens.

I'm no fan of big government but I think there might be something gained by reducing the size of congression districts and increasing the number of U.S. Representatives. (Do they really need to gather in a single room? They rarely engage in formal debate anyway.)

I think that such an effort combined with term limits and ending the direct election of senators (now just super representatives) would go a long way toward returning power to the people by making each congressman more accessible and therefore more accountable (think: re-election) to his constituents while making it harder (more complicated as well as expensive) to buy politicians--and cheaper for regular Americans to run for office.

7 posted on 12/20/2018 7:16:25 AM PST by Oratam
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To: Oratam

I have read that if we can many freshman at once, the power of the legislative staff ( who remain even if someone leaves) and House leadership would increase


8 posted on 12/20/2018 7:22:30 AM PST by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

There is a reason that Obama moved the Census so he could have more control.


9 posted on 12/20/2018 7:39:17 AM PST by originalbuckeye ('In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act'- George Orwell)
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To: SMGFan

Did the US really only grow by 0.6% INCLUDING all the immigration? Let me guess - they are not counting all the illegals that come in?


10 posted on 12/20/2018 9:22:12 AM PST by Sam Gamgee
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To: SMGFan

We need the Census to distinguish between citizens with voting rights and non-citizens who are not applying for citizenship and retain voting rights in their country of origin. The question of how many adult U.S. citizens are in the household would suffice, and fits within the framework of the U.S. Constitution.


11 posted on 12/20/2018 9:51:40 AM PST by RideForever
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To: SMGFan
legislative staff ( who remain even if someone leaves) and House leadership would increase

I'm in totla agreement. So,some kind of civil service reform (or whatever the congressional equivalent is) would be necessary. A top to bottom overhaul is needed to remove all vestiges of the "progressive era" to restore our republic.

Yes, Minister? Very conservative tv show from the Thatcher years. It illustrated in a humorous way how a well-intentioned member of Parliament was hamstrung or outright controlled by his professional civil service staffers. They ran everything!

12 posted on 12/20/2018 1:02:24 PM PST by Oratam
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