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1 posted on 11/05/2018 5:31:06 PM PST by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

It’s not really a prediction. It’s an automatic averaging of all the polls.


2 posted on 11/05/2018 5:32:12 PM PST by arista
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To: SMGFan

Most recent election predictions

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2018#Most_recent_election_predictions

Most pollsters staying on Toss Ups. Few want to give GOP any gains in the Senate. But a few flip AZ & NV to D and courageously /s give ND to GOP.


3 posted on 11/05/2018 5:34:13 PM PST by SMGFan ( .)
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To: SMGFan

Im going to go out on a limb and say John James might just pull off victory in MI and there are enough people in AZ with brains to choose a USAF pilot over a tutu wearing liberal ditz


8 posted on 11/05/2018 5:46:14 PM PST by silverleaf (A man who kneels for the national anthem doesn't stand for much of anything)
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To: SMGFan

Hahaha. Idiotic. No gain for R’ in senate??? Fools or liars...


10 posted on 11/05/2018 5:48:14 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: SMGFan

+6.

The polls on which the averages are based are biased - they are meant to influence, not report.

The mood of the country is against the Dems, and they are defending a LOT more territory. Sheesh, even Menendez in bright blue NJ is in trouble.

Make that +7...and keep the House...and the Blue Wave is oceans of their tears.


11 posted on 11/05/2018 5:49:38 PM PST by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons is the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt, The Weapons Shops of Isher)
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To: SMGFan

Posted previously on this forum:

“Thing is, the amount of money in the races is part of ole Nate’s model at 538.

He uses the flawed polls first, and then adds some secret sauce to the candidate with the most money being spent. But that model was proven so inadequate in 2016.

Just another reason ole Nate will be so wrong again!”


12 posted on 11/05/2018 5:49:48 PM PST by EarlyBird (There's a whole lot of winning going on around here!)
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To: SMGFan

Replacing Corker with Blackburn should be considered a Republican pick up.


14 posted on 11/05/2018 5:50:49 PM PST by throwback (The object of opening the mind, is as of opening the mouth, is to shut it again on something solid.)
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To: SMGFan

Also posted previously:

“My prediction: There are going to be so many crossover Democrats voting Republican that the pollsters ain’t gonna know what hit them.

Even the early vote counters will be shocked!

Maybe even enough #Blexit/#Walkaway voters to sway the election in my district - GA4, Hank Johnson vs Joe Profit.

I know... pipe dream.”


16 posted on 11/05/2018 5:51:44 PM PST by EarlyBird (There's a whole lot of winning going on around here!)
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To: SMGFan

I say at least 5


20 posted on 11/05/2018 5:58:05 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: SMGFan

24 Hrs...
To Go,,,
I Agree.


22 posted on 11/05/2018 6:01:01 PM PST by Big Red Badger (Despised by the Despicable!)
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To: SMGFan

I’m going to vote, pray and hope for the best.


23 posted on 11/05/2018 6:01:37 PM PST by ScottinVA (GOP: The party of jobs. Democrats: The party of mobs.)
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To: SMGFan

Real Queer Politics

Averaging fake polls = a fake average

MI and VA might remain stupid Senate wise

I see a Red wave bloodbath almost everywhere else


30 posted on 11/05/2018 6:15:50 PM PST by Phil DiBasquette
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