[mrsmith]

"watch three key House races on election night: the 2nd District of Maine, the 22nd District of New York and the 3rd District of West Virginia. "
Yeah, but they may be very late decisions.

The first “telling’ results should be from NC 9, NC 13 and KY 6.
All well polled, so one should be able to extrapolate info from the returns.
If we do better than expected it should be a good night, if not...

[mrsmith]

For the record.
Betfair:
“Consider the battle for the House of Representatives. Fivethirtyeight have been very strong about a Democrat majority since unveiling their model and have become more so over time, currently rating it 86% likely. By contrast, Betfair odds of 1.60 imply a mere 62% chance and have at no stage bettered 71%.”
https://betting.betfair.com/politics/us-politics/us-mid-term-elections-betting-odds-and-analysis-301018-171.html

At Paddy Power, the over/under is Dems win 232 seats
https://www.paddypower.com/politics
(I think I read that right!)