I don’t think it will be 20 points but I do think it will be about 5 points...like how Gillespie lost. Stewart is doing a lot of radio ads, speaking the plain truth. The content really sticks it to Kaine but it probably won’t be enough.
Gillespie is a good politician. Stewart is not. And there is no Obamacare as an issue this year. In fact, the dems have been very effective in making health care an issue against the repubs this year.
Stewart is a perfect candidate for Virginia 20 years ago, but that time has passed. Stewart is a perfect candidate for Alabama, but Virginia is not Alabama. A good politician understands the voters of their district or state and campaigns accordingly. A case in point is Comstock, who appeared to be losing but at least has made her race competitive in a district that loathes Trump. Trump received only 23% of the vote in Fairfax County in 2016, an astonishingly low percent, but believable because of all the govt workers, hangers on and contractors in the county.
Her 2018 election was considered lost the day after the pres election, but she is smart and even voting with Trump over 90% of the time has come across as more bipartisan.
Perhaps that is what you don't want to hear, but that is the only way a repub will ever win in Virginia again. Virginia is getting bluer by the day and a blowhard won't win in Virginia and Stewart comes across as a blowhard. He loses by 20.
This is a state that rejected the great George Allen twice. This state is gone for good.