You weren’t kidding that the comparison to 2016 is vastly different than 2014. If we compare to 2016 we are looking pretty strong. Like, really good. Here are comparisons to 2016 in terms of Republican share of ballots returned:
Collier +4%
Duval +4%
Hernando +6%
Hillsborough +4%
Lee +2%
Pinellas +3%
We are also outperforming compared to 2016 in Broward (+5%), Miami-Dade (+6%), Orange (+3%) and Palm Beach (+5%) .. the biggest four democratic counties. However not a lot of turnout in any of these so far.
Democrats are outperforming in Brevard about 2% and a few small counties (Martin, Okaloosa, Santa Rosa and St. Johns) but that isn’t going to get it done if this is how it plays out.
Excellent and informative! Look also we are now at 3.1 million ballots requested. We could be at 3.5 million by election day. That’s insane - I think people just want to vote and be done with it.