[HamiltonJay]

Manchin read th tea leaves a while ago.. he probably is the most likely of the red state Dems to survive... but end of the day he’ll likely lose..

Especially if he goes no on Kavanaugh

[Dave W]

His strategy is the same as many votes in the past goes. If K is going to win the Senate vote, there is really no sense in voting no, since his vote won't matter. That is a very easy decision to make, so he will vote yes.

Otherwise, he will vote no and see where the chips fall on election day.