Even if we take this at face value, that Republicans may lose a few, there are still about 25 Democrat Senate seats up for election, and about 10 of those in states Trump won. There are a number of vulnerable Democrats, and those Democrats are still vulnerable, even if we see some Republicans not as solid as we had hoped.
35 Senate races for NOV, and it is 26-9 current Dem seats.
GOP candidate is polling behind in 7 states where Trump won by +9% or more.
GOP candidate is polling behind in 4 states where Trump won by +21% or more. (TN, WV, ND, MT)
The problem is either slanted polling (which is common), or Trump voters aren't getting off their butts for a mid-term. Hopefully, Obama coming onto the campaign trail will help motivate some more.
Current polls seem to have the Senate at +1 to +3 for the GOP... the House at -17 to -29 (and -23 changes the Majority)... and Governorships as -5 to -7 (majority is for bragging rights only, but the current 33-16 lead could mostly disappear).
CNN will have plenty to crow about on NOV 7, even if they don't take the House. Odds are that the Dems pick up seats overall. (Recall that they lost 1000+ seats at the state and national levels in the 3 elections since Obama won.)
Every election since WJC, the “news” is always how the democraps are going to win. I cannot recall any major “news” pushing the theme that the GOP was going to win. In 2016, the “news” for over a year included how the GOP was never going to win the WH again, and in fact was going to cease to exist.
There are no discussion of any issues in this election. It is mostly Trump is bad, needs to be impeached, removed, ad nauseam. If the GOP has a message it isn’t getting out. Nonetheless, my hope is that the Trump win comes out strong(er) than in 2016, defies all historical odds of an off-year election and soundly defeat the democraps in both houses.