Posted on 09/08/2018 2:33:33 PM PDT by BenLurkin
Tropical Storm Florence is quickly approaching the eastern United States, and according to the National Hurricane Center, the storm's threat to the East Coast keeps rising. The storm is traveling over warm water, and is expected to increase its speed and become a hurricane Saturday night.
The National Hurricane Center forecasts Florence will be a dangerous major hurricane near the southeast U.S. coast by late next week, "and the risk of direct impacts continues to increase."
"However, given the uncertainty in track and intensity forecasts at those time ranges," the National Hurricane Center tweeted, "it's too soon to determine the exact timing, location, and magnitude of those impacts."
On Friday North Carolina declared a state of emergency, and other states along the East Coast are preparing for the storm. North Carolina Sergeant Chris Knox told NPR, "This allows our farmers to gather their crops, and get these crops out ahead of the storm. It allows utilities to come in. A lot of these things that we know we need to start doing ahead of time."
The state of South Carolina also declared a state of emergency on Saturday. South Carolina's Emergency Management Division said residents should begin preparing their homes and property for the storm. Florence's immediate threat for residents includes large ocean swells, dangerous rip currents and coastal flooding.
By Saturday morning Florence was located 835 miles southeast of Bermuda, and had winds of 65 mph. The storm is moving west at 7 mph. Meteorologists expect the tropical storm to evolve into a major hurricane by Tuesday night.
"Our emergency operations center will start up early next week," Knox said, "Because we know that a storm of potentially this size, and potentially of this impact, we as a state need to be in place, on the ground, and ready to help the people of North Carolina." According to The Washington Post, if Florence hits the U.S. East Coast, it will be the first to do so for a storm in its present location. Knox said residents in North Carolina should begin preparing, "When we put those orders out, when we tell people, this is a flood prone area, that you need to find somewhere else to go, don't roll the dice. We want people to head the warnings that we are putting out."
Meanwhile, over the Pacific Ocean, Hurricane Olivia is approaching Hawaii with maximum winds of 85 mph. As of Saturday morning the hurricane was 1280 miles east of Honolulu. It is expected to approach the Hawaiian Islands as a tropical storm by early next week, becoming the third tropical weather system to affect the islands this year.
It has been a weaker hurricane season.
when they travel West and hit the E coast dead center like this one will and your S of that point it aint never headed S never has never will.
So yes with this one if your S of Ga your overreacting.
The NHC has made only 22 forecasts in the last 20 years projecting an intensity of 125kt or higher at day 4 or 5.
That is from these 7 storms:
Isidore 2002 / Isabel 2003 / Frances 2004 / Ivan 2004 / Dean 2007 / Igor 2010 / Irma 2017
https://twitter.com/splillo
6 of those peaked at over 125 kts, Isador unexpectedly veered into Yucatan, weakening it.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?p=2703832#p2703832
“Isidore”
Here is the bottom line on hurricane forecasting by the weather people- I will believe it when it happens.
Yep - the son with his wife and daughter, live outside Charleston, SC - he’s already doing preliminary stuff - he went through Katrina with us and knows what a hurricane can do.
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