IBD/TIPP has the generic ballot all tied up

realclearpolitics ^

[Conserv]

Economist/YouGov dems +3

Rasmussen dems +4

RealClearPolitics average is dems +5.7

[Conserv]

Keep in mind that even dnc stooge, Larry Sabato, has admitted that dems need to be north of dems +6 or 7 to have any chance what so ever of taking the House

[Conserv]

And, the right direction vs. wrong direction gap has really shrunk.

It’s now right direction 41.4/wrong direction 51.4(-10).

That is a dramatic improvement. I think during the Presidential election is was something like -30.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/direction_of_country-902.html

[Repeal 16-17]

All polls are pure BS, some more than others.

[onyx]

The STUPID PARTY can't rest on its laurels nor can it expect President Trump to carry them on his back.

House members and Senators had better run on and with with the Trump agenda or risk losing.

All the RINOS and middle roaders are on their own. Same goes for the squishes who cater to "suburban women."

[Zhang Fei]

Considering the last IBD poll in June was +8, that’s an interesting move.

[EdnaMode]

A lot of that advantage is likely coming from the big leftist cities.

[Steely Tom]

Pretty much every poll has exactly the same behavior: the Democrat is ahead until a few days before the election, at which time the poll shows the two candidates "statistically tied."

Then, if the Democrat wins, they say "we had him ahead from the beginning."

If the Republican wins, they say "the Russians interfered."

[Conserv]

Couple numbers from March and April 2017

3/4-3/6 Economist/YouGov -27

4/6-4/10 Reuters/Ipsos -32

4/8-4/11 NBC/Wall St Jrnl -31

[SauronOfMordor]

The trend is our friend.

[OttawaFreeper]

And, the right direction vs. wrong direction gap has really shrunk.

It’s now right direction 41.4/wrong direction 51.4(-10).

That is a dramatic improvement. I think during the Presidential election is was something like -30.

I am looking at Rasumussen’s archives for this number and they had at this time in 2010, a gap of -35%, with only 30% saying in the right direction versus 65% not in the right direction. Obama started that year with a -30% gap and finished it (after losing the House) with a -40% gap (27% right direction versus 67% not in the right direction).

[rhinohunter]

This is the first generic ballot poll of the entire year to NOT show a rat lead. Well, at least the polls used by RCP. Seems to me there was one that showed a GOP lead but RCP refused to post it.

[MAGAthon]

yet Rasmussen says:

4 Aug: American Thinker: Rasmussen: Black approval rating of Trump now at 29%
TWEET: Rasmussen Reports: Today’s @realDonaldTrump approval ratings among black voters: 29%
Today’s @realDonaldTrump approval ratings among black voters: 29%
3 Aug 2018
https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2018/08/rasmussen_black_approval_rating_of_trump_now_at_29.html

and NAACP says:

7 Aug: WashingtonExaminer: Blacks’ approval of Trump reaches a high of 21% and NAACP charges ‘racism’
In fact, in a new poll released by the group today, Trump’s approval rating among blacks has reached 21 percent, more than double what it was in an April Reuters poll.
But in its analysis, the NAACP slammed Trump and even went as far as claiming that Trump is setting race relations back...
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/washington-secrets/blacks-approval-of-trump-reaches-a-high-of-21-and-naacp-charges-racism?_amp=true&__twitter_impression=true

6 Aug: NationalCenterForPublicPolicyResearch: Black Teen Unemployment Dropped Again in July
by David Almasi
In last Friday’s jobs report, the big headline was that Hispanic unemployment hit another record low. It moved down again from 4.6 percent to 4.5 percent. This overshadowed equally good – or perhaps even better – news that black teen unemployment dipped below 20 percent yet again.
While a 19.9 percent unemployment among blacks between 16 and 19 doesn’t seem like something to celebrate, it must be put in perspective. In September 2010 – almost eight years ago – 48.9 percent of black teens seeking work were unemployed. Nearly half! In June of 2016, the rate was still 33.2 percent...
In June of 2017, it cracked the 20 percent barrier for the first time ever at 19.8 percent. It did it again this past May, at the same time as the overall black unemployment rate reached a historic all-time low of 5.9 percent...
https://nationalcenter.org/project21/2018/08/06/black-teen-unemployment-dropped-again-in-july/