I think you are highly likely to end up quite accurate—at least far more accurate than other scenarios. Your narrative most matches my memory of public statements at the time.
1,302 posted on 08/04/2018 1:26:08 AM PDT by JockoManning
(http://www.zazzle.com/brain_truth for hats T's e.g. STAY CALM & DO THE NEXT LOVING THING)