Time will tell.
Some people understand things more easily than others. Some were able to visualize how the compound interest curve became asymptotic to infinity pretty quickly. I wish I had understood it better sooner.
Lieutenants Chard and Bromhead were hopeful of seeing reinforcements as well. One group arrived but soon abandoned them to their fate.
Yes, the mid-terms will tell a whole lot.
I hope your are wrong, and fear you are correct.