We’ll be under a mile of ice before we get hit by a large meteor.
One group places odds at one-per-thousand-years on average. Seventy percent of impacts should fall in an ocean producing tsunami with little evidence of a crater.
https://ipfs.io/ipfs/QmXoypizjW3WknFiJnKLwHCnL72vedxjQkDDP1mXWo6uco/wiki/Holocene_Impact_Working_Group.html