[SamAdams76]

7.0+ magnitude quakes happen about 15 times a year.

So he has around a 4-5% chance of being right on chance alone. And if one happens within a week or so of Feb 2 (excellent odds of that), then he can at least claim that it was close enough to the day predicted.

Not terrible odds to be hailed as a genius.

[oldasrocks]

I think we should be more worried about the werewolves in the full moon.