So, what’s the current best guess going atm?
Sh** happens or nefarious deed?
If someone wanted to target practice on satellites, picking a non military target from a country that can’t fight back would seem like a good idea.
You’d notice the launch of a rocket big enough to carry a payload to reach that orbit, and something in orbit already making a burn to get up there would probably be noted too. Probably just a particle strike. That’s a crap area to fill with debris though...