In the RCP primary averages, Trump over performed the average in 26 states. He underperformed in 10. Overall, he over performed by 2.6%
I wonder how many of the 10 were questionable caucus states.
“RCP”
Lagging indicator, got 2012 wrong, etc.
Their job was easy in the republican primary because the poll numbers were stable. Polls in the RCP average taken 2 weeks before the vote were close to the actual result.