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Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion (Category 5)
National Hurricane Center ^
| September 30, 2016
Posted on 09/30/2016 8:09:10 PM PDT by rdl6989
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To: SamAdams76
81
posted on
10/01/2016 6:41:26 AM PDT
by
SilvieWaldorfMD
(A Realistically Really Real Housewife)
To: caww; SunkenCiv
That was my takeaway as well: Cat 5 if the winds are actually that high, but the radar/satellite image does not show a well-developed center eye.
82
posted on
10/01/2016 6:58:25 AM PDT
by
Robert A Cook PE
(I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
To: SamAdams76
Sunday (tomorrow) or one week from tomorrow?
It should be south of Cuba on Sunday Oct 2. Waves higher, but those forced north by the storm will be somewhat blocked by Hatii and Cuba’s coastlines. Then, after it crosses those two, there is nothing between the storm center and the east coast, so waves will increase through Thursday or Friday as it goes north.
Sunday the 8th? Could be over, could be well out to sea towards the north Atlantic, could still be off of the US coast.
83
posted on
10/01/2016 7:11:17 AM PDT
by
Robert A Cook PE
(I can only donate monthly, but socialists' ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
To: caww
Matthew to Arrive 4,000 days after Last Major Hurricane
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2016/09/matthew-to-arrive-4000-days-after-last-major-hurricane/
29SEP2016
Updated 1OCT2016
Major Hurricane Matthew was briefly a Category 5 hurricane overnight, the first Cat 5 in the Atlantic in nine years. It now has 155 mph sustained winds, making it a strong Category 4 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Matthew is over the south-central Caribbean, traveling slowly westward, but a turn to the north is expected on Sunday. Matthew is expected to cross eastern Cuba Tuesday morning and possibly make U.S. landfall somewhere on the East Coast around next Friday or Saturday.
Thursday will mark exactly 4,000 days after Major Hurricane Wilmas landfall.
Hurricane Wilma, the last major hurricane (Cat 3 or stronger) to hit the U.S., struck Florida on October 24, 2005. Will Matthew arrive as the first major hurricane to strike the U.S. in almost 11 years? Only time will tell. (Sandy was Cat 1 at landfall, and technically not a hurricane at that time. Hurricane Ike, 2008, was a Cat 2.)
Here is the latest GFS model forecast for Matthew on midnight Sunday, Oct. 9 (graphics courtesy of Weatherbell.com): (see pic at link)
That particular forecast, which remains very uncertain this far in advance, has Matthew making landfall at Cape Hatteras, Cape Cod, and then going inland in Maine. Here is the spread of model forecasts from NOAAs GEFS ensemble forecast system: (see pic at link)
84
posted on
10/01/2016 7:45:48 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: caww
There’s still a lot of heat in the waters of the Caribbean.
85
posted on
10/01/2016 7:48:24 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: eyedigress
"We are right in the middle of Hurricane season."
Hurricane season starts June 1st and ends November 30th (total of 180+ days) with the peak occurring on on September 10th. We are 2/3rds done with the season.
86
posted on
10/01/2016 7:54:34 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: FlingWingFlyer
“It would be hilarious if Walmart sent its own employees in to burn down all the Walmarts in the path of this hurricane. LOL.”
Wal-Mart Lives Matter!
87
posted on
10/01/2016 7:56:45 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: Palio di Siena
"hope it doesnt hit jersey. christie will be sucking up to obama again."
88
posted on
10/01/2016 7:58:37 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: rdl6989
This may be the big one. Usually, when they forecast the end of humanity, it BS, but this one looks nasty.
89
posted on
10/01/2016 8:00:55 AM PDT
by
FXRP
(Just me and the pygmy pony)
To: octex
90
posted on
10/01/2016 8:06:09 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: Jack Hydrazine
Current sea surface temps (in Celsius).
91
posted on
10/01/2016 8:10:32 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
To: Jack Hydrazine
92
posted on
10/01/2016 8:11:19 AM PDT
by
RightGeek
(FUBO and the donkey you rode in on)
To: FXRP
Looks that way doesn't it....
93
posted on
10/01/2016 10:06:17 AM PDT
by
caww
To: caww
Matthew is rattling nerves of hurricane forecasters. ....Latest spaghetti plots bring many different US landfall out-to-sea projections....Word is... Need to closely monitor!
94
posted on
10/01/2016 10:19:11 AM PDT
by
caww
To: DocRock
Jumpin Jack Flash, that’s a bad looking himicane.
5.56mm
95
posted on
10/01/2016 10:26:29 AM PDT
by
M Kehoe
To: Jack Hydrazine
96
posted on
10/01/2016 10:40:11 AM PDT
by
eyedigress
((Old storm chaser from the west))
To: caww
Matthew is rattling nerves of hurricane forecasters. ....Latest spaghetti plots bring many different US landfall out-to-sea projections....Word is... Need to closely monitor!
I certainly intend to closely monitor Mathew as I will be leaving Boston by ship on Oct 7th Friday 4PM, and heading to Bermuda for a 1PM Sunday arrival in Bermuda.
Monday I will have to really take a look at where "Mathew" is located and where it is expected to go. - Tom
To: caww
Oh wow. I feel really bad for everyone in the path of angry Matthew. Godspeed to everyone in Jamaica, Haiti, Cuba and The Bahamas. And Bermuda.
THEN, we'll see how badly Matthew will treat the US. :-(
98
posted on
10/01/2016 1:10:33 PM PDT
by
nutmeg
(I am a proud Deplorable)
To: Jack Hydrazine
Thank you for posting the many plots of the likely path.
I found out Saturday evening that my step daughter left the DR Sunday. Her son stayed there with his wife for a honeymoon. ......Appears they will be safe.
99
posted on
10/02/2016 4:56:08 AM PDT
by
octex
To: octex
100
posted on
10/02/2016 6:00:19 AM PDT
by
Jack Hydrazine
(Pubbies = national collectivists; Dems = international collectivists; We need a second party!)
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