Posted on 08/09/2016 5:20:42 AM PDT by Be Careful
1. Wisconsin Voter Turnout in the April 2016 Primary was about 47%
2. Estimated Turnout for Today's Primary is at or about 16-17%
3. The primary is an open primary (many Bernistas and Blue Labor do not want Ryan)
4. Nehlen's base is energized
5. Trump won Ryan's CD 1 with 38% of the vote, or about 48,000 votes
6. Ryan's overall 'Win Margins' have fluctuated (he may be easy to pick off in November if he wins today):
2014-63%
2012-He only won 55% of the vote
Quite a drop from this:
2010 68% 2008 64% 2006 63% 2004 65% 2002 67% 2000 67%
8. Hope a blizzard keeps people from the polls.
Father God, if it is Your will, please retire Ryan and the other politicians who have actively worked against You and against this country.
Chances are slim to none and none just left town. I worked on the effort to beat Cantor. Nehlen is no Dave Brat. And Ryan has not alienated his constituents to the degree Cantor did.
I am still praying for a miracle but my expectations are low. We have a better shot at beating McCain and Ayotte.
Sorry, but i think the fix is in.
Hope I’m wrong.
Wait, how does #5 work against Ryan. Didn’t Trump come out and endorse Ryan?
Regardless of the vote results, this has already been a great victory for our side. Look at the amount of resources ryano has had to spend merely to defend his own seat. Ryano is a money raiser for himself and other gop-e twits. The more he spends on his own race, the less there is available for others.
Nehlen also made the job of persuading other gop officeholders to do the right thing a good bit easier: they don’t want to face their own Paul Nehlen.
And who knows? The vote hasn’t been counted yet. Pray for a win at the polls.
Sorta’.....won’t dampen the fire in the belly of his supporters to vote against Ryan
spot on
What does the weather look like?
Yep, despite giving Obama everything he ever wanted Ryan will manage to keep his seat. He’s the Speaker; his constituents wouldn’t remove him even if his opponent was better.
Nehlen was just on local radio in Milwaukee. 10 minutes of filibuster refusing to answer a single question from the host.
Refusing to answer questions?
Please provide examples of the questions
By chance was the host Charlie Sykes?
‘Nuf said
Ryan is a piker compared to what God let ruin our country for the last 7 3/4 years.
Yes! Point #7!
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