I think this will be decided Friday after prayers by Erdogan’s zealots, possibly renegades beyond even Erdogan’s control -they’ve had a taste of blood now.
To paraphrase, it will again be “....some guys out for a walk that just decided to go kill some Americans.”
Friday afternoon/evening will most certainly be a marker.
More than likely coup forces will blanket the base with some chemical WMD. Than Erdogan forces will arrive to save the day.