If Donald cannot get his story straight, his ‘beliefs’ clarified and stuck to, this may be how his campaign is finally dismantled. After all the millions spent by Karl, Mitt and Koch, this very basic issue may be his stumbling block. I wondered how long he could keep this frenetic pace w/o any real break in over what? eight, nine months of steady campaigning. Stunning ( and sad) that he never seemed to have found the time to review this topic.
> “If Donald cannot get his story straight, his ‘beliefs’ clarified and stuck to, this may be how his campaign is finally dismantled. “
Trump is focused on the big priorities, not the small stuff. Some people sweat the small stuff when in fact the small stuff will be taken care of by first addressing the larger issues.
Don’t worry about ancillary issues, Some of them are important but nonetheless are secondary. Truly they are secondary. He can afford flexibility on these secondary matters.
All political polls of today are invalid. Those that execute them are the 3rd and 4th string of the discipline. Any reputable scientist that enters the field of political polling today is certain to lose their reputation quite quickly.
All such polls today are invalid because of failure to execute scientific sampling plans. They fail because 90 pct of targets are not home, refuse to pickup, or hangup.
That leaves 10 pct sitting at home willing to participate and 10 pct is hardly a representative sample.
Now note there are about 100 million out-of-work Americans and many are sitting at home or are close by. When survey phones ring up registered republicans, independents, Reagan dems, many will pickup if they think it has something to do with Donald Trump. This is why Donald Trump leads in these polls. His voice is representing these people.
These people responding are not particularly fervently passionately engulfed in ancillary issues such as abortion, even though culturally and spiritually it is an important issue. Such people will certainly have a view of such issues, but that’s not what is making them pickup. They’re picking up because they want leadership that will help in changing the environment of their lives. Whether that voice of leadership says something one day about an ancillary issue, and says it with another twist the next day is not what’s important. Nor is Donald’s hairdo a dealbreaker. It’s not about these superficial ancillaries.
No, what’s important is hearing someone who is tremendously successful, who is not owned, who is no one’s puppet, who is part blue collar, who knows the really important issues, who knows the threats, who has the savvy to get things done, and who understands clearly that the middle class is vital to the health of the nation.
So even though these polls are invalid scientifically in the sense that the sample respondents are not representative of the whole, these polls do in fact pickup a signal that extends beyond those sitting at home who are sick of sitting at home.
Now turning to polling in relation to the general election, there is another subgroup that sits at home on the democrat plantation who are part of the federal government reservation. This is the welfare class which includes what is colloquially known as the welfare queens. When the respondents to these general election polls are asked who they will vote for, Hillary or Trump, the polling is skewed to Hillary.
When it comes to women, those sitting home are more often than not part of the fed government reservation and they will vote against Trump.
Now all of this dynamic will change as the race heads closer to November. But as of today and for some weeks more, the polls are truly meaningless with respect to the general. As Donald Trump gets closer to November he will, as all good salespersons do, strip away every last issue of objection to those that criticize him. But he will remain firm on border, immigration, jobs, trade, taxes, banking, social security, healthcare reform, education. Most everything else is negotiable for now, but maybe not for later.