It’s not clear that Trump will get a majority. What IS clear is the will-of-the-people-be-damned attitude of the GOPe.
Tells us lowlies everything we need to know.
Without OH Trump’s path got a little harder, instead of only 45% of the outstanding proportional/hybrid delegates, he needs 55% (assuming he gets AZ, NJ and DEL)... but its hardly impossible..
Look at MO, that’s about as razor thin as you can get and Trump still is going to likely have 61.5% of the state delegates when its all said and done... And MO is about the farthest east Cruz will be competitive. He’ll probably get the rest of the western states, but he’s not going to play any better than he did in MO anyplace east... and that’s being generous.
Kasich is a non starter, he may peel some votes from Cruz, heck he might even pull out a surprise somewhere, but there is no way he’s going to stop Trump from winning most of the remaining states and thus gaining the majority of the delegates. Yes 55% is tougher than 45% but this idea that Trump can’t get that on average going into the states that are remaining is hardly impossible.
In a 3 way race, its almost certain Trump will win most of the states left, the only question is the size of the win. And remember, depending on how states allocate delegates, the wins don’t have to be by large margins to equate to large delegate percentage differences... as I pointed out before MO is about as skin of your teeth as you can get, and assuming trump gets at least 1 of the 3 outstanding districts, he winds up with 61.5% of the states delegates.
Time will tell, but the idea that he can’t reach 1237 is a bit premature.