Posted on 03/07/2016 4:17:31 PM PST by Signalman
A pattern is starting to emerge that holds both promise and peril for Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump:
Trump does better in “open” primary contests where members of either party can vote, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz tends to do better in "closed" contests limited only to registered Republicans.
The pattern could lend credence to Cruz’s claim that he’s the “consistent conservative” in the race, and continue to pose challenges for Trump as more closed contests – including the critical Florida primary – loom on the election calendar.
But if Trump indeed is being boosted by crossover voters, it suggests he’s a stronger general election candidate than Democrats give him credit for.
“Trump’s got crossover appeal,” said Christopher C. Hull, former chief of staff for Cruz backer and Iowa Rep. Steve King.
To date, Trump has won a dozen contests, seven of which were open to voters regardless of party affiliation – and two of which have a hybrid system. He has won only three contests that were limited to registered Republicans – Nevada, Kentucky and Louisiana. (His victories in the latter two states were relatively tight.)
By contrast, five of Cruz’s six victories came in closed or semi-closed contests. The only exception was Texas, his home state.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
He’s also winning from Florida to Ohio like Bush.
Go figure.
Go check them Ohio polls again, buddy.
Trump just won LA which was closed, the TN caucus which was closed.
Most polls, and the aggregate, has Trump in the lead in Ohio. What’s your point, you’d rather Kasich win?
Trump "won" LA based on the early voting, but actually lost the votes cast on election day, and tied Cruz for delegates in LA; and TN was an open primary.
Cruz has all the wrong issues just like Romney with his polls.
This crap again? Trump just won KY an LA both closed. Cruz does better in the caucus where there is more room for shenanigans
Are early votes only 25% of a vote now?
I don’t care how trump wins as long as he does.
Nope. But the huge disparity between the early votes and the votes on election day would seem to indicate a major change in the election dynamics in a short period of time. The question is whether it is something unique to LA, or if it is widespread; and whether or not it is something lasting, or just a brief phenomenon.
The fact that Cruz did so much better than expected in ALL of the states on Saturday makes it clear that something happened that was not limited to LA. And I guess we will see tomorrow if it was a brief phenomenon, or if it was a harbinger of an ill wind for the Trump campaign.
Well, if his "wins" don't get him any more delegates than the 2nd place winner, then his "wins" will not win him the nomination. He needs to get 54% of the remaining delegates to get to 1237.
yeah, who would have ever guessed that one. lol
and so we finally see it.....that is exactly how Obama won. Open primaries walks ins welcome (from every country and all over this one).
What does that say about the General election where he has to appeal to a broad base of voters?
Good thing the GE is GOP-only. Cruz will kill Hillary and that’s our real goal.
Wait, I think democrats are allowed in the GE so never mind.
Good thing the GE is GOP-only. Cruz will kill Hillary and that’s our real goal.
Wait, I think democrats are allowed in the GE so never mind.
Trump waking up Reagan democrats. I like it. You Cruz supporters hated and despised President Reagan so not shocked by your comments.
and so we finally see it.....that is exactly how Obama won. Open primaries walks ins welcome (from every country and all over this one)>>>>.i voted for hillary in a closed primary.
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