Tied? Trump won by 11,000 votesPlease go back and review the excuses made by the Trump fans when Trump lost in Iowa (when the polls all predicted him winning). Then, the only thing that mattered was the delegate count.
The reality is that Trump has received 500,000 more votes than Cruz so far. If we go to a brokered convention, both the number of delegates and the total votes will be significant as to who should be selected.
So far there have been 843 delegates awarded. Puerto Rico will add another 23 today. There are a total of 2473 delegates at stake. Cruz has 300 and Trump has 382. There are 1,607 delegates left to be awarded. This Tuesday, another 150 will be awarded proportionately.
On March 15, another 367 delegates be awarded with four being winner take all, i.e., FL (99), OH (66), IL (69), and the Northern Marianas (9). NC (72) and MO (52) are proportional. So by the end of the day, there will be just 1090 remaining.
If Trump takes either FL, OH, or IL, it will be very difficult for anyone to catch him. He could be stopped from receiving the needed 1,237 but he will be very close to that total with the states of NY and NJ coming up. Kasich could take OH, PA, and possibly MI (proportional), but he has no path to 1,237 nor does Rubio even if he wins FL.
Cruz would have to do much better than he is doing now. Can he win FL or IL or OH? He needs to win 937 delegates out of the 1,607 remaining? Trump needs to win 855. Who gets the winner take all states will change the math.
Yup, I see the hypocrisy still hasn’t worn off with them.. sad, really :^\