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Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
FiveThirtyEight ^ | 3-2-2016 | AARON BYCOFFE

Posted on 03/03/2016 8:48:36 PM PST by Citizen Zed

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"Trump should win more delegates in states with fewer college-educated voters."
1 posted on 03/03/2016 8:48:36 PM PST by Citizen Zed
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To: Citizen Zed

We love the poorly educated!


2 posted on 03/03/2016 8:51:02 PM PST by american colleen
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To: Citizen Zed

There’s no Texas again for Cruz in his future.


3 posted on 03/03/2016 8:51:54 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Citizen Zed

Trump is going to beat the estimates going forward.

Cruz is going to win a few more and develop a decent delegate count..

I do not believe Marco is going to win FL, and he will be finished after that.

Kasich thinks he can win in Ohio...and I think he may do pretty good there...but I still think Trump takes it.

As Trump starts taking a lot of winner take all states, e is going to get there much quicker.

We shall see...but I think he wins the delegates handily. That’s just the momentum of this thing now...it’s just the calculus.

I am a Cruz supporter and hope Cruz does well and is able to win himself...but if I am honest with myself...I do not see it happening at this point.


4 posted on 03/03/2016 8:52:25 PM PST by Jeff Head (Semper Fidelis - Molon Labe - Sic Semper Tyrannis)
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To: american colleen
College graduates these days aren't very bright.

When your major is psychology or social worker, you come out barely able to balance a checkbook. Just sayin'.

5 posted on 03/03/2016 8:52:39 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (With Cruz You Get Rubio)
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To: Citizen Zed

The rest, or most. are winner take all.


6 posted on 03/03/2016 8:53:05 PM PST by Jet Jaguar
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To: Citizen Zed

Trump has 319. Cruz has 226.


7 posted on 03/03/2016 8:53:18 PM PST by Sacajaweau
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To: Citizen Zed

First, I wish twerp Silver would do. LITTLE research on the poll internals as I have. In EVERY poll I have been able to find internals on, Trump beats the field among “college educated” trails Rybes slightly among “post college” and it is CRUZ who consistently leads among the less educated.

Second, I wish twerp Silver would get the most recent numbers: Trump was awarded additional delegates today and at last number he was over 325, oh quite ahead of where twerp Silver thinks he is “supposed to be.”


8 posted on 03/03/2016 8:53:29 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Sacajaweau

Last I heard Trump’s numbers went up today.


9 posted on 03/03/2016 8:54:24 PM PST by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Citizen Zed

FAIL. Your delegate count is incorrect.


10 posted on 03/03/2016 8:54:25 PM PST by bigbob ("Victorious warriors win first and then go to war" Sun Tzu.)
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To: Jeff Head
I am a Cruz supporter

Trump supporter here and from tonight's debate I still think Cruz just doesn't connect with people. He has the lofty rhetoric but doesn't really talk to the issues. In fact, when asked a question he often times takes a circular route to answer the question if he even gets around to it.

His closing comments today struck me as odd as he targeted the military specifically. While certainly appropriate remarks, why make such a limited appeal in your last comments to the audience?

Maybe it's why Trump does better as he keeps it simple: Return jobs, better trade deals, no nation building, no common core, repeal obamacare, etc.

He quickly touches many bases.

11 posted on 03/03/2016 8:57:49 PM PST by The Iceman Cometh (With Cruz You Get Rubio)
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To: Red Steel
Yes, it was fortuitous for Cruz that Texas, with it's 155 delegates, was one of the first primaries. He cleaned up pretty good there along with neighboring Oklahoma. Definitely home-field advantage for Cruz. He would have been finished if he didn't win at least his home state area.

Rubio will be finished should he lose Florida.

The real test will be to see how Cruz does in the delegate rich states elsewhere such as Florida, Illinois, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan, New York, New Jersey and California.

12 posted on 03/03/2016 8:58:42 PM PST by SamAdams76 (Delegates So Far: Trump (319); Cruz (226); Rubio (110)
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To: Jeff Head
I am a Cruz supporter and hope Cruz does well and is able to win himself...but if I am honest with myself...I do not see it happening at this point.

I have to agree with you, but I'll continue making my contributions to Cruz and hope people wake up before its to late. I think Cruz is right, if Trump is the nominee we will probably lose the Senate and POTUS.

13 posted on 03/03/2016 9:00:32 PM PST by wmfights (a stranger in a hostile and foreign land that used to be my home)
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To: Red Steel

What? That doesn’t make sense.


14 posted on 03/03/2016 9:03:34 PM PST by Elyse (I refuse to feed the crocodile.)
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To: Citizen Zed

trump’s polling negatives are hurting him. Keep to the issues and it will help him. Go the low road and voters will be repelled.


15 posted on 03/03/2016 9:06:08 PM PST by RginTN (Donald J Trump- why would the people of Ky want a rookie senator when they have Sen Mitch Mcconnell)
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To: Citizen Zed

How many Texas’ are left ? Trump will win New York in blow out.


16 posted on 03/03/2016 9:06:11 PM PST by sunrise_sunset
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To: Elyse

There is no home turf Texas primary to boost Cruz with delegates.


17 posted on 03/03/2016 9:06:31 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: The Iceman Cometh

Just look at the students at Yale and Harvard, they can’t even identify Joe Biden in a photo lineup, but they know who Kim Kardashian is and all of her family members..just goes to show, college degree means nothing when you are taught nothing except Capitalism is horrible and Socialism is super cool


18 posted on 03/03/2016 9:07:24 PM PST by Sarah Barracuda
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To: wmfights

I have to agree with you, but I’ll continue making my contributions to Cruz and hope people wake up before its to late. I think Cruz is right, if Trump is the nominee we will probably lose the Senate and POTUS.
==
Think! So the candidate that is drawing massively larger and more enthusiastic crowds than any candidate in the history of presidential politics is going to cost us the Senate and POTUS. Go real.


19 posted on 03/03/2016 9:07:29 PM PST by QuigleyDU
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To: LS
Trump 329

Cruz 231

Rubio 110

Kasich 25

Politico

20 posted on 03/03/2016 9:09:41 PM PST by Stentor (Oh Teddy Cruz, Canadian that you be. O Teddy Cruz, we stand on guard for thee.)
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