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To: dhs12345

George E. P. Box said that all models were wrong, but some are useful.

I wouldn’t include the AGW/CC models in the “useful” category, except as a political tool for political tools.


43 posted on 02/23/2016 6:18:45 PM PST by kosciusko51
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To: kosciusko51
Exactly — useful but maybe not precise enough.

Maybe as useful as “horseshoes and hand grenades” yet the models have to be precise otherwise the results are garbage — your note about AGW.

Then additional accuracy is lost when they digitize a nonlinear model (an approximation, in the first place) to make it compatible with a computer simulation. Compound this with the thousand of variables each with their own nonlinearities, plus not clearly understanding the feedback and feed-forward mechanisms of the system and the interactions between the variables and initial conditions having gross error, and your simulation is garbage. Sorry, ranting about AGW again....

44 posted on 02/24/2016 8:03:14 AM PST by dhs12345
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