Interesting that Cruz is at 14 here and 23 in CNN. Kasich at 14 here and 4 in CNN. ARG was right on in NH. Answer is obviously the voter screen. ARG is using about 1/3 independents. Not sure where CNN shook out on that but i would suspect CNN included more conservatives in their sample. Spread is still 17-19 overall for Trump in any poll. Pick your second place finisher.
You’re probably right. I think the Republicans are going to let the liberals and moderates choose our nominee AGAIN!
Closed primaries are the way to go.
CNN poll was taken mostly before the debate, and has a small sample on the one day after the debate. ARG has a MOE of 5 points also, so Cruz could be as high as 19, which would be in line with the other poll showing Cruz and Rubio tied post-debate. ARG was pretty close with Trump in New Hampshire, and one point off on Cruz's numbers, though their last poll I think was either just before or not long after the debate, so they were wrong with Rubio.