[chae]

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_presidential_race.html

Trump won’t win the election if the polls are correct.

[Fhios]

And I would have a ham sandwich if I had bread.

[Crusher138]

Trump won't win the election if the polls are correct.

Repeating this doesn't make it true.

"If the polls are correct" is your problem. At this point, in 1980, Carter led Reagan 63% to 33%.