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New Poll Shows Donald Trump Is a Real Threat to Hillary Clinton
US News & World Report ^ | 1-8-2016 | James Warren

Posted on 01/08/2016 1:30:18 PM PST by Citizen Zed

A new survey of likely voters might at least raise momentary dyspepsia for Democrats since it suggests why it wouldn't be a cakewalk.

The survey by Washington-based Mercury Analytics is a combination online questionnaire and "dial-test" of Trump's first big campaign ad among 916 self-proclaimed "likely voters" (this video shows the ad and the dial test results). It took place primarily Wednesday and Thursday and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

Nearly 20 percent of likely Democratic voters say they'd cross sides and vote for Trump, while a small number, or 14 percent, of Republicans claim they'd vote for Clinton. When those groups were further broken down, a far higher percentage of the crossover Democrats contend they are "100 percent sure" of switching than the Republicans.

When the firmed showed respondents the Trump ad, and assessed their responses to each moment of it, it found "the primary messages of Trump's ad resonated more than Democratic elites would hope."

About 25 percent of Democrats "agree completely" that it raises some good point, with an additional 19 percent agreeing at least "somewhat."

Mercury CEO Ron Howard, a Democrat whose firm works for candidates in both parties and corporate clients, concedes, "We expected Trump's first campaign spot to strongly appeal to Republican Trump supporters, with little impact - or in fact negative impact - on Democratic or independent voters."

He continues, "The challenge to Hillary, if Trump is the nominee and pivots to the center in the general election as a problem-solving, independent-minded, successful 'get it done' businessman is that Democrats will no longer be able to count on his personality and outrageous sound bites to disqualify him in the voters' minds."

Trump's formidable challenges remain obvious and in no small measure reflect his general style.

(Excerpt) Read more at usnews.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: demagogicparty; donknocksherout; elections; immigration; kopunch; m2t; memebuilding; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; ropeadope; trump; trumpkosclinton; trumpwasright
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To: ObozoMustGo2012

I agree. And as a woman, I don’t like voting for women.


21 posted on 01/09/2016 4:41:29 PM PST by Suz in AZ
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To: HarleyLady27
Even without the FBI indictment, it makes more sense for the Democrats to run a Biden/Warren ticket than that insufferable old hag Shrillary, with all the attendant baggage that goes with it. I can't see one redeeming factor about her (Shrillary) and I think Trump would utterly destroy her in the general.
22 posted on 01/09/2016 4:48:49 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: Citizen Zed
Carly destroyed any chance she had to be running mate for Trump when during one of the debates, she rebuffed Trump's peace offering so that she could get in her well-rehearsed-ahead-of-time soundbite about how "I think women all over the country heard clearly what Trump said" (about her face).

She could have been gracious in accepting Trump's apology (or as close as an apology one could ever get from Trump) but she decided instead to go with the soundbite for some cheap applause and so now her political career is finished.

23 posted on 01/09/2016 4:55:29 PM PST by SamAdams76
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To: SamAdams76

And Trump can take down Biden and Warren....they both are blubbering idiots...

I don’t think they will do anything to Hillary until after the election is over, it’s to damning for obuma and ValJar....

You read on here where Hillary is planning a ‘Muslim’ rally right? She is totally off her rocker!!!


24 posted on 01/09/2016 4:56:07 PM PST by HarleyLady27 (.."THE FORCE AWAKENS"!!! TRUMP; TRUMP;TRUMP;TRUMP 100%....)
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