Article V or civil war.
Military coup or Obama cancels (postpones) elections.
Military coup I give 5%
Obama remains President 94.9%
Civil War .1%
obama will make a big move against the 2nd Amendment, either executive order or executive action. GOPe will bitch and moan and call it unconstitutional ... but will do nothing to stop him.
Ammo will be very hard to find at anything close to a reasonable price.