So long as Trump keeps filling 20,000 seat stadiums, he's the clear frontrunner. Once his rallies start looking like wakes like the one pictured below, then I'll know that Trump has lost his buzz.
So long as Trump keeps filling 20,000 seat stadiums, he's the clear frontrunner. Once his rallies start looking like wakes like the one pictured below, then I'll know that Trump has lost his buzz.
Has anyone seen an iCarly rally yet? The pics that I’ve seen of them look about as small as Yeb!s. Maybe 15 people in the photo LoL.
And not public events that already have other attractions; only rallies that iCarly is the only attraction.
That is perhaps the worst possible way to judge who is winning or losing an election.
Big rallies measure intensity, not depth of support.
McGovern had massive rallies in '72, yet Nixon beat him easily. Nader filled arenas in 2000, yet got all of 3%ish of the vote. Old nutter Ron Paul could fill an auditorium better than anyone, yet he was a blip on the radar in terms of who was really going to win the nomination every time he ran, Palin generated tons of enthusiasm and big crowds yet her ticket with McCain lost the '08 election handily.
Polls matter. Trump has an fanatical base of support (plus a large curiosity factor considering he is a celebrity), but that won't necessarily translate into the nomination because his long term support may be shallow. Primary polls are notoriously inaccurate compared to general election polls, but they are still more valuable than who is turning out big crowds.