Why do you say that? (not the idiot part, I get that).
Seriously. Five carriers are vaporized in a BOOB attack one day in 2017, followed by a massed amphibious assault on Taiwan. Wargame it for me.
What's your move, and what's the path to victory?
Once nukes start flying around all tactical missions/goals cease to matter- or perhaps exist.
WWIII follows. Our forces throughout the world would be mobilized including in the region inplaces like Guam and Japan. The nuclear triad of land based missiles, submarine launched nuclear weapons, and aircraft and cruise missiles armed with nuclear weapons would retaliate.
Taiwan would be an afterthought. You don't wipe out five carriers without the subsequent Armageddon. The Japanese learned that after Pearl Harbor.